Guy Berger, Ph.D. is an influencer

Workforce Economist in Residence at Guild; Senior Fellow at the Burning Glass Institute; Consultant & Advisor

San Francisco, California, United States
30K followers 500+ connections

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About

I am a seasoned expert and technical leader within the field of macroeconomics (+16 years in industry, econ PhD).

I have two passions — understanding what is going on in the macroeconomy and labor market, and helping ensure that that "what" is harnessed to benefit the billions of people who rely on the labor market to make better lives for themselves.

During my career, I have been both a manager and a senior individual contributor - building economic indicators, econometric models, and labor statistic reports; talking to customers and journalists; and advising leaders on the macroeconomy's business impact.

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Experience

  • Guild Graphic

    Workforce Economist in Residence

    Guild

    - Present 7 months

    San Francisco, California, United States

  • The Burning Glass Institute

    The Burning Glass Institute

    2 years

    • The Burning Glass Institute Graphic

      Senior Fellow

      The Burning Glass Institute

      - Present 7 months

      San Francisco, California, United States

    • The Burning Glass Institute Graphic

      Director of Economic Research

      The Burning Glass Institute

      - 1 year 6 months

      San Francisco Bay Area

      * Managed a team of 3 economists
      * Was the tech lead / economic advisor on key consulting projects
      * Co-authored oseveral brief research notes on topics such as racial inequality in the workplace and AI adoption
      * Authored a report on the potential for non-degree credential adoption in Arkansas
      * Regularly represented BGI in top tier media such as the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Washington Post and Marketplace

  • LinkedIn Graphic

    Principal Economist

    LinkedIn

    - 8 years 3 months

    San Francisco Bay Area

    1) As a manager (2015-19), I led a team of 5 data scientists and economists who:
    * Developed LinkedIn’s first ever monthly job statistics report, the LinkedIn Workforce Report
    * Developed LinkedIn’s flagship macroeconomic indicator, the LinkedIn Hiring Rate
    * Developed LinkedIn’s first Developed LinkedIn’s first comprehensive data set for tracking skills gaps over time, Skills Gap Analytics
    * Functioned as our acting chief economist with media and customers

    2) As an…

    1) As a manager (2015-19), I led a team of 5 data scientists and economists who:
    * Developed LinkedIn’s first ever monthly job statistics report, the LinkedIn Workforce Report
    * Developed LinkedIn’s flagship macroeconomic indicator, the LinkedIn Hiring Rate
    * Developed LinkedIn’s first Developed LinkedIn’s first comprehensive data set for tracking skills gaps over time, Skills Gap Analytics
    * Functioned as our acting chief economist with media and customers

    2) As an individual contributor and tech lead (2019-present):
    * I initiated LinkedIn’s efforts to econometrically model the macroeconomic business cycle’s impact on our lines of business
    * I have built econometric models to assess the impact of the macroeconomy on key product variables
    * I have collaborated with data teams and other functions across lines of business to insert macroeconomic awareness into their analyses and strategy
    * I have advised senior leaders at the company, as well as the company more broadly, on macroeconomic developments and their impact on our business

    3) Throughout my tenure-to-date at LinkedIn, I have:
    * Met with our customer base to provide expertise on insights from our data, and on the macroeconomy and labor market more broadly
    * Engaged in dozens of media appearances, including TV (CNBC, Bloomberg, CBS News, Yahoo! News, Ameritrade Network) and print (Wall Street Journal, New York Times, Washington Post, Bloomberg, Reuters)

  • Task Force Member

    State of New Jersey Future of Work Task Force

    - 2 years 4 months

    "The future of work promises an abundance of opportunity for New Jersey’s economy and citizens, but to realize our full potential in the economy of tomorrow, we must begin preparing today. The New Jersey State Future of Work Task Force has been appointed by Governor Philip D. Murphy to evaluate and prepare for the challenges and opportunities that technological advancement will bring and ensure that our State’s future economy is stronger, fairer, and inclusive for all."

  • RBS Global Banking & Markets

    RBS Global Banking & Markets

    4 years

    • RBS Global Banking & Markets Graphic

      Director/Economist

      RBS Global Banking & Markets

      - 4 months

      Stamford, Connecticut

    • RBS Global Banking & Markets Graphic

      VP/Economist

      RBS Global Banking & Markets

      - 3 years 8 months

      Stamford, CT

      - Supported the US Rates Sales & Trading team in making informed capital commitment decisions
      - Addressed questions from external RBS clients and the media (print, radio, television) regarding the US economy
      - Provided rapid-response, externally-published data release commentary on a wide variety of economic indicators
      - Wrote data previews and feature essays for the externally-published RBS US Economic Weekly
      - Analyzed the Federal Reserve and monetary policy
      - Forecast economic…

      - Supported the US Rates Sales & Trading team in making informed capital commitment decisions
      - Addressed questions from external RBS clients and the media (print, radio, television) regarding the US economy
      - Provided rapid-response, externally-published data release commentary on a wide variety of economic indicators
      - Wrote data previews and feature essays for the externally-published RBS US Economic Weekly
      - Analyzed the Federal Reserve and monetary policy
      - Forecast economic indicators including GDP, nonfarm payrolls, ISM, the unemployment rate, retail sales, industrial production, international trade and durable goods orders
      - Presented the US economic outlook to an internal audience

  • Bank of America, Corporate Investments Group

    Bank of America, Corporate Investments Group

    4 years

    • Bank of America, Corporate Investments Group Graphic

      Senior Economist

      Bank of America, Corporate Investments Group

      - 1 year

      - Supported the Corporate Investments Group trading desk in making informed capital commitment decisions
      · Provided quick, pointed, accurate and actionable economic analysis on Bloomberg chat
      · Led and participated in economic briefings for mortgage, foreign exchange and equity traders including the Chief Investment Officer
      · Edited a daily email preview of the following day's key economic and political events and data releases

      - Briefed…

      - Supported the Corporate Investments Group trading desk in making informed capital commitment decisions
      · Provided quick, pointed, accurate and actionable economic analysis on Bloomberg chat
      · Led and participated in economic briefings for mortgage, foreign exchange and equity traders including the Chief Investment Officer
      · Edited a daily email preview of the following day's key economic and political events and data releases

      - Briefed executives and managers throughout the bank to provide economic guidance in their risk-management and profit-generation decisions
      · Wrote economic research pieces addressing timely and relevant economic issues
      · Delivered economic updates to the funding, risk, asset-liability management and money-market-fund-management teams in the bank
      · Edited and submitted content to weekly packet for traders, executives and managers

      - Engaged in economic analysis:
      · Analyzed the Federal Reserve and monetary policy
      · Forecast economic indicators including retail sales, the unemployment rate, industrial production, durable goods orders, initial claims, light vehicle sales and personal income
      · Contributed to GDP and nonfarm payrolls forecasts
      · Designed quantitative forecast models for retail sales, Federal Reserve interest rate policy, core CPI, industrial production, and personal income

      - Managed junior economic analysts

      - Presented and explained the economic outlook to bank salespeople and external bank clients

      - Taught internal seminars on timely economic issues

    • Bank of America, Corporate Investments Group Graphic

      Economist

      Bank of America, Corporate Investments Group

      - 3 years

  • Intern

    Congressional Budget Office, Macroeconomics Division

    - 4 months

    Collected, compiled and documented a database of international economic indicators for the deputy director of the CBO

Education

  • Yale University Graphic

    Yale University

    Ph.D Economics

    -

    Activities and Societies: Cowles Prize Ryochi Sasakawa Fellowship

    - Job Market Paper: “The ‘Compensation Hypothesis’ and the Determinants of Food Aid Distribution in Rural Ethiopia”
    · Using statistical methods, modeled and analyzed whether village elders in rural Ethiopia are compensating farmers for
    negative price effects of food aid
    · Evaluated the welfare implications of local food aid policy
    · Papers: “Endogenous Trade Protection in the Philippines”, “Preferential Trade Liberalization and Reputation Effects: A Building Block for…

    - Job Market Paper: “The ‘Compensation Hypothesis’ and the Determinants of Food Aid Distribution in Rural Ethiopia”
    · Using statistical methods, modeled and analyzed whether village elders in rural Ethiopia are compensating farmers for
    negative price effects of food aid
    · Evaluated the welfare implications of local food aid policy
    · Papers: “Endogenous Trade Protection in the Philippines”, “Preferential Trade Liberalization and Reputation Effects: A Building Block for Multilateral Liberalization?”

  • UC San Diego Graphic

    UC San Diego

    B.A. Economics and Mathematics

    -

    Activities and Societies: - Phi Beta Kappa - Regents Scholarship

    - Magna Cum Laude with GPA 3.85
    - Double major in economics and mathematics; double minor in philosophy and history

Skills

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